Thursday, May 28, 2015

China's Revenge Serves Body Blows to BHP and Rio

China's revenge serves body blows to BHP and Rio

It's taken six years, but China is slowly turning the tables on the heavyweight iron ore miners.

In 2009, iron ore giants BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto decided they wanted to take advantage of China's soaring demand for iron ore, which was pushing prices ever higher. So they ditched the 40-year old system of setting annual contract prices in favour of using spot pricing for the majority of their iron ore shipped to China from 2010.

Needless to say, China's steel mills weren't very happy about that. BHP's previous CEO Marius Kloppers is widely acknowledged as the man most responsible for bringing about the change. With BHP and Rio filling a huge amount of China's demand, the steelmakers had little choice but to acquiesce. 

The changes, and China's thirst for iron ore, saw the iron ore price soar as high as US$191 per tonne in February 2011, from around US$60 per tonne in 2008. Rio Tinto produced record underlying earnings of US$15.5 billion in the 2011 financial year, with iron ore contributing US$12.9 billion. BHP, for its part, saw net profit rise 74 per cent to US$21.7 billion as revenues rose 36 per cent.

China may also still be sore over aluminium giant Chinalco's aborted US$19.5 billion investment in Rio Tinto back in 2010, which was aimed at gaining resource security. At the time, reports suggest Chinese officials feared that China was too vulnerable to both Rio and BHP, even separately. Rio's board canned the deal, and announced that it was instead forming an iron ore joint venture with BHP. That deal never went ahead – much to the relief of China.




The giant (re)awakens

But China has never forgotten, and appears unlikely to forgive. Now the sleeping giant has awakened, and looks set to turn the tables on Rio and BHP.

Firstly, China needed to loosen its dependence on the two Australian iron ore miners, so it has turned to Brazil's Vale. For many years Vale was snubbed by the Chinese. The iron ore giant had built a number of very large ore carriers to ship ore to China, but they have been banned from docking at Chinese ports since 2012.

Now, China hasn't just removed the restrictions but Vale has also sold 4 of the ore carriers to two of China's biggest shipping companies. Each carrier can transport up to 400,000 tonnes of iron ore, and could reduce Vale's production costs by as much as 25 per cent, according to some estimates. That would bring Vale's landed costs around the same as BHP and Rio's.

Vale also has a 25-year shipping agreement with China Cosco to transport iron ore from Brazil to China. China has gone another step further too, loaning Vale US$4 billion to help fund a US$16.5 billion project, known as S11D.

S11D is expected to produce 90 million tonnes of very high quality iron ore each year, taking Vale's production to 450 million tonnes of iron ore within the next few years.

In two moves, China has decreased its dependence on BHP and Rio, loosening their control over the iron ore market, and thanks to the increase supply of iron ore, achieved lower prices.




One last dance? 

Fairfax Media reports today that Chinese-linked companies have applied to the Foreign Investment Review Board seeking permission for an investment with Australia's self-styled 'new force in iron ore' Fortescue Metals Group.

Fortescue, with its US$7.7 billion in net debt, could strengthen its balance sheet with a capital injection, either to pay down debt in return for an equity stake, or refinance existing debt at lower rates. The miner recently issued US$2.3 billion in senior secured notes, but is paying a whopping 9.75 pe cent interest rate, at a time when interest rates around the world are at record low levels.

Fortescue could struggle to repay its debt load if iron ore prices continue to trade at or under US$60 per tonne, with some estimates putting the miner's breakeven price around US$70 per tonne. The company may well be amenable to a deal with the Chinese, particularly after the recent kerfuffle over the iron ore inquiry that was going ahead, but was cancelled.

Sunday, May 17, 2015

Australian Households Chase Sun to Lead World on Solar Adoption

Australian Households Chase Sun to Lead World on Solar Adoption
Australian households are world leaders in solar power installation, according to new figures from Australia's peak industry body representing the fossil fuel and renewable energy sector.

The Energy Supply Association of Australia, representing the fossil fuel and renewable energy sector, has sourced data from around the world revealing household solar photovoltaic (PV) penetration in Australia is way out in front of any other nation.

The report shows almost 15 per cent of Australian households have adopted the technology to power their homes.

This is more than triple that of Germans, who are second on the world stage and typically thought of as the most prolific solar adopters.

The report breaks the data down to countries and jurisdictions illustrating where the world's most enthusiastic installers of small-scale solar energy are located.

"Germany, the US, Spain and others are held up as being at the forefront of solar power, but it is Australia, where households have taken it upon themselves to install solar PV, that easily lead the world when it comes to solar penetration," the ESAA report states.

The ACT had 15,637 household installations as of September last year, according to ActewAGL figures. Based on 2011 census data this put the ACT at about 10 per cent of households connected to solar – South Australia leads the way with almost 25 per cent of households connected to solar PV.

Although Australia leads the charge on small-scale installations, Germany is out front with utility-scale solar installations.

In terms of total solar energy produced per million people, Germany's capacity is about triple that of Australia's.

Australian Solar Council chief executive John Grimes said that was due to policies that had focused on domestic solar systems.

"The economics are compelling," Mr Grimes said. "The cost of the technology continues to fall at such a rate that it is already much cheaper to install solar than it is to buy electricity from the grid. And with the advent of cheap energy storage technology – battery technology – that really closes the loop.

"People like the Energy Supply Association and others should rightly be thinking about this. If they don't start to embrace the technology as opposed to resist it, their members companies – the big utilities – are set to become the Kodaks of the future."




See more at: http://australiasolar.blogspot.com.au/2015/05/australian-households-chase-sun-to-lead.html#sthash.248JT0Dp.dpuf

Andrew Forrest Makes Surprise Investment in Atlas Iron (AGO)

Andrew Forrest Makes Surprise Investment in Atlas Iron (AGO)

Mining billionaire Andrew Forrest has emerged as a new investor in rival Atlas Iron, despite continuing to serve as the chairman and major shareholder in Fortescue Metals Group.

Speaking after Atlas announced a strategy to restart mining through lower contracting fees and an equity raising of up to $180 million, the miner's chairman David Flanagan revealed that Mr Forrest had promised to participate in the raising.

"I am just so pleased to be able to announce that Andrew Forrest was the first person to put his hand up and say he was going to invest personally in that raising," he said.

"It is through one of his holding companies, whichever it will be ... we are not going to be sort of a subsidiary of Andrew Forrest Holdings, but it is meaningful in the extent of what we are doing going forward and that is all I can say.

"Thanks again to Andrew for backing Atlas."

Mr Forrest does not currently own shares in Atlas according to Bloomberg records, and the move continues a recent string of investments made by Mr Forrest in small miners.

Mr Forrest last week invested in small Victorian gold producer A1 Consolidated via his private company Minderoo Resources, and also has exposure to uranium play Vimy Resources and nickel junior Poseidon.

Mr Forrest declared earlier this year that he was setting up a new company designed to buy assets during the commodity price downturn, and some believe that company is Minderoo Resources.

Upon launching that new company in March, Mr Forrest vowed it would not compete with Fortescue's current or future strategies.

"A process has been put in place to ensure that if any possibility of doubt regarding conflicting interest arises, the matter will be resolved independently and quickly. I have written to the FMG board asking them to approve this process, and they have returned with their full support for our venture and its governance procedures," said Mr Forrest in March. 

When asked about Mr Forrest's investment in Atlas on Sunday, Fortescue chief financial officer Steve Pearce said he had "nothing to add".

"It is not a Fortescue investment," he said.

Mr Flanagan has announced his support for a federal government inquiry into iron ore, which Prime Minister Tony Abbott announced on Friday after listening to the thoughts of Mr Forrest.

BC Iron chairman Tony Kiernan and Cliffs Natural Resources chief executive Lourenco Goncalves also threw their support behind the inquiry on Sunday, along with Queensland University associate professor of regulator economics, Flavio Menezes. 




See more at: http://commoditiesaustralia.blogspot.com.au/2015/05/andrew-forrest-makes-surprise.html#sthash.gGGW2FcY.dpuf

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

2015 Australian Wedge-Tailed Eagle 1oz Silver Bullion Coin

2015 Australian Wedge-Tailed Eagle 1oz Silver Bullion Coin from the Perth Mint
The Perth Mint is delighted to offer investors a new bullion coin featuring this majestic bird which is known to soar to dizzying heights.
The coin’s reverse depicts an impressive Wedge-tailed Eagle in mid-flight as it prepares to land on a tree branch. The design also includes the inscription AUSTRALIAN WEDGE-TAILED EAGLE, the 2015 year-date and The Perth Mint’s ‘P’ mintmark.
Each bullion coin is presented in an acrylic capsule, from an unlimited mintage.
2015 Australian Wedge-Tailed Eagle 1oz Silver Bullion Coin


2015 Australian Wedge-Tailed Eagle 1oz Silver Bullion Coin

One of our favourite silver bullion coins of 2014, indeed of modern times, the Wedge-Tailed Eagle coin designed by John Mercanti for the Perth Mint had its debut last year. First released as high-relief silver and gold coins with mintages of 10,000 and 1,000 respectively back in January 2014, they followed up with a standard silver proof and a fantastic five-ounce high relief coin last May. This year will almost certainly see new releases of most, or all of those.
The bullion coin, while not as impressive as the completely sublime High-Relief versions, remains a beautiful piece, and if last years mintage limit is repeated, a relatively rare one by bullion standards.

COIN Specifications

Metal Content (Troy oz)1.000
Fineness (% purity)99.90
Minimum Gross Weight (g)31.135
Monetary Denomination (AUD)1.00
Maximum Diameter (mm)40.600
Maximum Thickness (mm)4.000

About the Wedge-Tailed Eagle
The Wedge-tailed Eagle is Australia’s largest bird of prey and one of the biggest eagles in the world. Found throughout mainland Australia, Tasmania and southern New Guinea, the Wedge-tailed Eagle has a wingspan of up to 2.7 metres, and displays a long, wedge-shaped tail and feathered legs.
Last year, 10% of the 50,000 mintage was sold by Australian dealer Ainslie Bullion but we’re currently unsure when or if they will be the dealer selling them this year. We understand that any Australian issued coin has to have 10% of its mintage sold in Australia, thus explaining why GovMint don’t get all the coins to themselves. This would indicate that the same would be the case this year, but GovMint do not list a mintage for the 2015 release, so how many an Australian dealer would get is unclear at present. We’ll try to find out.

Wednesday, May 6, 2015

2015 Agro Junior 1oz Silver $5 Proof Coin


The Mint’s collaboration with Australia Zoo, the sixth coin in the popular Australian Saltwater Crocodiles series features our favourite crocodile of the moment, Agro Junior.
Becoming fearfully lifelike on the newest coin, the meticulous high relief technique has allowed our coin designer to provide much more depth to the design.
Appearing like a scene captured from Australia Zoo’s Crocoseum, Agro Junior lies eagerly in wait on a creek bed. With an extremely low mintage of only 1500 and an unheard-of price for a strictly limited edition product, this stunning coin will not be lurking around for long.
2015-Silver-Agro-Junior-royal-australia-mint-silver-$5-coin

2015 Agro Junior Silver $5 Proof Coin
Product Information:
  • Issue Mint: The Royal Australian Mint
  • Legal Tender: Australian $5
  • Mintage: 1,500
  • Material: 99.9% Silver
  • Condition: Brand New in original issue condition.
  • Issue Price: $100.00 AUD
2015-Silver-Agro-Junior-royal-australia-mint-silver-$5-coin-packaging
HISTORY AND SIGNIFICANCE:
Whether you call it the saltwater crocodile, the estuarine crocodile or crocodylus porosus, it is the largest reptile roaming the earth today. Lurking in dark and murky waters around the northern areas of Australia, they can surprise and terrify a wide range of prey. Anything that flies, swims or roams in its watery region is fair game for this formidable creature.
Since 1988, 37 year-old Agro has lived in the comfort of Australia Zoo’s Crocoseum. This 15 foot wonder was captured from the wild to protect him from the hunters who were stalking his Cattle Creek home. Not only did he find a new home, but he found love with Cookie, a ten-foot lady crocodile who is the calmest and gentlest of crocs in the enclosure.
Agro and Cookie raised a son, Agro Junior, the star of this new collectable coin.
FEATURES AND DESIGN:
• A new coin in the Australian Saltwater Crocodile series, continuing a proud collaboration with Australia Zoo
• High relief coin captures Agro Junior in stunning detail, to the Royal Australian Mint’s exacting proof standards
• Strictly limited edition of 1500
• The coin and packaging features images of one of Australia Zoo’s beloved crocodiles, Agro Junior
• Minted in precious silver
• Packaged in an attractive presentation case with outer box
• numbered certificate of authenticity
• Obverse features Queen Elizabeth II effigy sculpted by Ian Rank-Broadley
• Australian legal tender
Coin Specifications:
  • Denomination: $5
  • Metal : 999 Fine Silver
  • Diameter: 32.00 mm
  • Mass: 1 oz
  • Finish: Proof
  • Mintage: 1500

Friday, May 1, 2015

Farmers Own Milk A Huge Success With Customers!






Woolworths has today announced that the trial of Farmers’ Own milk produced in the Manning Valley has been an enormous success and that this great product will now be available in 105 stores across New South Wales.

This means that Woolworths is directly linking more than 2.5 million Woolworths customers with committed and innovative dairy farmers from the Manning Valley of New South Wales and milk straight from their farms.

In a first for Woolworths milk, the supermarket is working directly with the farmers. After a highly successful trial period, the Manning Valley farmers will now have greater access to this huge customer base for their product.

The milk is permeate free and is available in three varieties; full cream and reduced fat homogenised milk and full cream unhomogenised milk with the cream on top. It truly is the farmers’ own milk, just how they like it.

The trial has run for since October 2013 and Woolworths has seen strong sales, particularly in the Manning Valley stores.


Woolworths Head of Trade, Tony De Thomasis, said the experience has proven to be great for the farmers, great for Woolworths, but most importantly great for customers.

“We are extremely pleased about how well our customers have received Farmers’ Own milk. We know they appreciate a great local product.

“The three varieties have sold very strongly and the return of unhomogenised milk with the cream on top has been a hit. They love the great tasting, fresh milk with a richer, fuller flavour.

Manning Valley dairy farmer, Tim Bale, said: “We’re delighted that this trial has gone so well and that now we’ll be able to deliver our fresh, great tasting milk into a huge market through 105 Woolworths stores.

“We know that customers want farmers to get a fair price for their produce and our direct relationship with Woolworths is delivering that,” said Mr Bale.

The relationship gives the farmers end-to-end transparency from shed to shelf, a longer term contract and a closer relationship with their customers.

http://www.woolworths.com.au/wps/wcm/connect/webSite/Woolworths/about+us/woolworths-news/farmers+own+milk+a+hit+with+customers


My Say On Farmers Own Milk:

Farmers Own unhomoginised Full Cream Milk Won the Consumer Innovation Product of the year award.. congratulations for bringing high quality inexpensive ($2.70 for a 2ltr) milk to the market..excellent product!




Rolling out all over Australia.. a Woolworths near you.

Now that the NZ$ is close to parity.. a very real opportunity exists to import to NZ and attack the #Monopsony and relieve the consumer nightmare that is NZ milk
http://www.farmweekly.com.au/news/agriculture/cattle/dairy/farmers-own-milk-hits-woolies-shelves/2714940.aspx
- See more at: http://pricecomparisonaustralia.blogspot.com.au/#sthash.9Mu56Siu.dpuf

Atlas Iron Maintains Production at Two Out of Three Mines

Atlas Iron Maintains Production at Two Out of Three Mines

Iron ore miner Atlas has reversed its decision to mothball all of its operations, temporarily at least.

Three weeks ago the miner announced production would cease by the end of April at all three of its sites in the Pilbara region of Western Australia.

At the time Atlas said the decision had been forced by falling iron ore prices, despite considerable cost cutting.

But today Atlas advised the ASX mining will continue throughout May at two of the three sites.

Production will continue at the Abydos site and be resumed shortly at Wodgina, though mining and processing will remain suspended at Mt Webber.

The announcement is expected to give a reprieve to around 400 of the 600 workers affected by the original decision.

"The decision to continue operating at these projects ... is the result of a substantial reduction in forecast cash costs for May," Atlas said in its statement to the ASX on the decision.

"The cost reductions were achieved with the support of Atlas' key service providers."

Iron ore prices have recovered from under $US50 a tonne when the suspension was announced to as high as $US59.20 a tonne earlier this week.

The price has since backtracked a little to $US56.20 a tonne.

"Atlas expects to be cash flow-positive in May," today's ASX statement said.

"This is based on target all-in cash costs plus interest and sustaining capital expense."

But Atlas shares remain suspended and the company has given no indication of its intentions beyond this month.
Hopefully they continue, workers get a reprieve: CFMEU

CFMEU mining and resources division secretary Gary Wood said any reprieve for the workers was helpful in an industry where jobs were becoming rare.

"Obviously it's a positive in the shorter term and one can only hope there's an increase in [the iron ore] price to make it a sustainable operation," he said.

"It is a positive and hopefully they can continue and the workers do get that reprieve because there's no opportunities out there in the field at this time.

"I think they would have been running as efficiently as they can so it all comes back down to the price of ore."

Regional Development Australia (RDA) Pilbara chief Diane Pentz said she remained concerned about the number of people who had been retrenched.

She said the mining company's announcement was a "bright light" that was welcomed by the RDA Pilbara and by people in the community.

"I'm sure that it's a relief to a lot of people who are employed within this resource industry and I think it also starts to signal that there is some confidence around the recovery of the iron ore price," Ms Pentz said.